Peterborough PPG 1.40
Burton Albion PPG 0.95Peterborough face Burton Albion in England - League One on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterborough a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Burton Albion 19%, so Peterborough are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Peterborough and 1.0 for Burton Albion (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterborough are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.95 for Burton Albion. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +61.0%. This match finished 1-1.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.95)