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Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Austin II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 01:00

Vancouver Whitecaps II

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Austin II

PPG 2.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-19.4%0-210.1%0-37.2%0-4+6.4%1 1-04.3%1-19.2%1-29.9%1-37.1%1-4+6.3%2 2-02.1%2-14.5%2-24.9%2-33.5%2-4+3.1%3 3-00.7%3-11.5%3-21.6%3-31.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.6% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 57.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 55.9% — — —

Home O1.5 35.4% — — —

Away O1.5 54.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob55.9%

A 57% / xG 1.0-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 0–2 10.1%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 9.4%

#5 0–3 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vancouver Whitecaps II1.0

Austin II2.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VANCOUVER WHITECAPS II · PPG 1.40

AUSTIN II · PPG 2.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Vancouver Whitecaps II (H) 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austin II (A) 57.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps II face Austin II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vancouver Whitecaps II a 21% chance, the draw 22% and Austin II 57%, so Austin II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Vancouver Whitecaps II and 2.1 for Austin II (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vancouver Whitecaps II are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 2.71 for Austin II.

Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Austin II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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