Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Minnesota United II vs Colorado Rapids II

Minnesota United II vs Colorado Rapids II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 00:00

Minnesota United II

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDDW

UPCOMING

Colorado Rapids II

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 64% chance

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-14.7%0-22.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.9%1-19.6%1-24.2%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-19.9%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.7%3-16.8%3-23.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-15.6%4+-22.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.1% 58.8% 1.70 -4.6%

Draw 21.7% 27.0% 3.70 -11.8%

Away win 22.2% 26.3% 3.80 -9.4%

Over 2.5 59.6% 65.4% 1.53 -8.8%

Over 3.5 36.4% 45.7% 2.19 -20.3%

BTTS 54.6% 66.7% 1.50 -18.1%

Home O1.5 59.2% 65.4% 1.53 -9.4%

Away O1.5 25.5% 39.4% 2.54 -21.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 15.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 56% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–0 11.2%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 1–2 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Minnesota United II2.1

Colorado Rapids II0.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MINNESOTA UNITED II · PPG 1.45

COLORADO RAPIDS II · PPG 0.33

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

64%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.17 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Minnesota United II (H) 56.1%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -4.6%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -11.8%

Colorado Rapids II (A) 22.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -9.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Minnesota United II face Colorado Rapids II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Minnesota United II a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Colorado Rapids II 22%, so Minnesota United II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Minnesota United II and 0.9 for Colorado Rapids II (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Minnesota United II are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.33 for Colorado Rapids II.

Minnesota United II vs Colorado Rapids II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - MLS Next Pro Predictions