Today / USA - MLS / Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire Prediction— USA - MLS
Regular Season - 18 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 23:30
// Model verdict
BTTS
Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.83)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 45% / xG 2.1-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%
Form & verdict
INTER MIAMI · PPG 1.50
CHICAGO FIRE · PPG 1.83
Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.83)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Inter Miami face Chicago Fire in USA - MLS on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Miami a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Chicago Fire 33%, so Inter Miami are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Inter Miami and 1.8 for Chicago Fire (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Miami are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.83 for Chicago Fire.