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Carolina Core vs Inter Miami II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 22:30

Carolina Core

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter Miami II

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=64.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-12.7%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.6%1-17.1%1-23.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.8%2-19.2%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-18.0%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.3%4+-19.6%4+-24.5%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.2% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 15.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 53.6% — — —

Home O1.5 62.9% — — —

Away O1.5 27.2% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.6%

H 64% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–0 8.5%

#4 1–1 7.1%

#5 3–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Carolina Core2.6

Inter Miami II0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CAROLINA CORE · PPG 1.44

INTER MIAMI II · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=64.2%

Win probability 1X2

Carolina Core (H) 64.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inter Miami II (A) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Carolina Core face Inter Miami II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Carolina Core a 64% chance, the draw 20% and Inter Miami II 16%, so Carolina Core are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Carolina Core and 0.9 for Inter Miami II (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Carolina Core are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.20 for Inter Miami II.

Carolina Core vs Inter Miami II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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