Today / South Korea - K League 1 / FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC

FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 10:00

FC Anyang

PPG 1.08 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWD

UPCOMING

Gangwon FC

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDD

// Model verdict

BTTS 55% chance

Model probability 53.9% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-112.4%0-29.2%0-34.6%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.3%1-112.4%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.1%2-16.2%2-24.6%2-32.3%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.4%3-12.0%3-21.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.7% 30.3% 3.30 -5.1%

Draw 24.7% 31.3% 3.20 -12.6%

Away win 47.6% 47.6% 2.10 -0.0%

Over 2.5 53.1% 48.8% 2.05 +8.8%

Over 3.5 31.6% 28.6% 3.50 +10.6%

BTTS 53.9% 55.6% 1.80 -3.0%

Home O1.5 30.8% 33.3% 3.00 -7.6%

Away O1.5 42.2% 45.5% 2.20 -7.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -23.8%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob53.9%

A 48% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 12.4%

#3 0–2 9.2%

#4 1–2 9.2%

#5 0–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Anyang1.0

Gangwon FC1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ANYANG · PPG 1.08

GANGWON FC · PPG 1.46

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

55%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.49, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FC Anyang (H) 27.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.1%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -12.6%

Gangwon FC (A) 47.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Anyang face Gangwon FC in South Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Anyang a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Gangwon FC 48%, so Gangwon FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for FC Anyang and 1.5 for Gangwon FC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Anyang are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.46 for Gangwon FC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +12.3%.

FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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