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Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 11:30

Braunschweig

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLWL

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Hertha Berlin

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWL

// Model verdict

Away 51% chance

Model probability 58.3% vs bookmaker-implied 47.6% — a clear edge.

+22.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-110.2%0-29.7%0-36.2%0-4+4.6%1 1-05.4%1-110.4%1-29.9%1-36.4%1-4+4.7%2 2-02.8%2-15.3%2-25.1%2-33.2%2-4+2.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.8%3-21.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.7% 32.3% 3.10 -38.9%

Draw 22.0% 27.4% 3.65 -19.7%

Away win 58.3% 47.6% 2.10 +22.4%

Over 2.5 56.3% 63.7% 1.57 -11.6%

Over 3.5 33.9% 40.8% 2.45 -16.9%

BTTS 54.5% 67.6% 1.48 -19.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -10.2%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob54.5%

A 58% / xG 1.0-1.9 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.4%

#2 0–1 10.2%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–2 9.7%

#5 1–3 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Braunschweig1.0

Hertha Berlin1.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAUNSCHWEIG · PPG 1.27

HERTHA BERLIN · PPG 1.93

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

51%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.93) vs Home AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Braunschweig (H) 19.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -38.9%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -19.7%

Hertha Berlin (A) 58.3%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +22.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Braunschweig face Hertha Berlin in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Braunschweig a 20% chance, the draw 22% and Hertha Berlin 58%, so Hertha Berlin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Braunschweig and 1.9 for Hertha Berlin (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Braunschweig are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.93 for Hertha Berlin. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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