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Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Lithuania - A Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - A Lyga Regular Season - 9 Marijampole Football Arena· Marijampole Sunday, April 19, 2026 11:15
Suduva logo Suduva PPG 2.00
3-2 MISS
Dziugas Telsiai logo Dziugas Telsiai PPG 2.33
Draw· +13.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Suduva face Dziugas Telsiai in Lithuania - A Lyga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suduva a 46% chance, the draw 39% and Dziugas Telsiai 15%, so Suduva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Suduva and 0.4 for Dziugas Telsiai (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 13% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 18% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suduva are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.33 for Dziugas Telsiai. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.4%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -7.4%
Draw 39.1%
Odds: 2.90 EV: +13.4%
Away 14.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -44.5%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 12.7% Odds: —
Over 3.5 3.7% Odds: —
BTTS 17.6% Odds: 1.95 -65.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 0-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Suduva
0.87
Dziugas Telsiai
0.36

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 44%
Score Hit 31%
ROI -56.0%
Bet Hit 20% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.33)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org