Today / Termalica vs Wisla Plock

Termalica vs Wisla Plock Prediction

Sunday, April 19, 2026

Termalica
PPG 0.93 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
Wisla Plock
PPG 1.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-111.9%0-27.7%0-33.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.0%1-113.0%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.5%2-17.1%2-24.6%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.0%3-12.6%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 31.4%
Draw 27.6%
Away win 41.1%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Over 3.5 21.9%
BTTS 48.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.3%

A 41% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%
#2 0–1 11.9%
#3 1–0 10.0%
#4 0–0 9.2%
#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Termalica1.1
Wisla Plock1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TERMALICA · PPG 0.93

WISLA PLOCK · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Termalica (H) 31.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Wisla Plock (A) 41.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Termalica face Wisla Plock on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Termalica a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Wisla Plock 41%, so Wisla Plock are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Termalica and 1.3 for Wisla Plock (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Termalica are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.07 for Wisla Plock. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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