Today / Finland - Ykkosliga / Haka vs SJK Akatemia

Haka vs SJK Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 15:30

Haka

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 72.4% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-13.3%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.1%1-17.5%1-22.2%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.9%2-18.6%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.4%3-16.6%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-011.1%4+-16.4%4+-21.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.4% 80.0% 1.25 -9.5%

Draw 19.0% 19.6% 5.10 -1.9%

Away win 8.6% 10.0% 10.00 -8.4%

Over 2.5 59.7% 69.0% 1.45 -13.4%

Over 3.5 36.0% 46.5% 2.15 -22.6%

BTTS 47.6% 55.6% 1.80 -14.3%

Home O1.5 65.1% 78.1% 1.28 -16.7%

Away O1.5 16.4% 22.2% 4.50 -15.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 0.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.6%

H 72% / xG 2.3-0.6 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 14.9%

#2 1–0 13.1%

#3 3–0 11.4%

#4 1–1 7.5%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haka2.3

SJK Akatemia0.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HAKA · PPG 2.00

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.71 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.60 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Haka (H) 72.4%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -9.5%

Draw 19.0%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV -1.9%

SJK Akatemia (A) 8.6%

ODDS 10.00 · IMPLIED 10.0% EV -8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Haka face SJK Akatemia in Finland - Ykkosliga on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haka a 72% chance, the draw 19% and SJK Akatemia 9%, so Haka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Haka and 0.6 for SJK Akatemia (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haka are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.60 for SJK Akatemia. This match finished 2-0.

Haka vs SJK Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Ykkosliga Predictions