Today / Finland - Ykkosliga / Kooteepee vs Haka

Kooteepee vs Haka Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:30

Kooteepee

PPG 2.20 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Haka

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-18.0%0-25.4%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.8%1-111.8%1-28.0%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-18.7%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.2%3-14.3%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 45.5% 2.20 -13.8%

Draw 25.0% 29.0% 3.45 -8.3%

Away win 35.7% 35.7% 2.80 -0.0%

Over 2.5 53.5% 58.8% 1.70 -9.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 36.4% 2.75 -13.4%

BTTS 55.0% 64.5% 1.55 -14.8%

Home O1.5 40.1% 51.3% 1.95 -21.8%

Away O1.5 40.9% 43.5% 2.30 -5.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 0.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.0%

H 39% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1✓ 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kooteepee1.5

Haka1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KOOTEEPEE · PPG 2.20

HAKA · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kooteepee (H) 39.2%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -13.8%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -8.3%

Haka (A) 35.7%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kooteepee face Haka in Finland - Ykkosliga on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kooteepee a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Haka 36%, so Kooteepee are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Kooteepee and 1.3 for Haka (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kooteepee are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.89 for Haka. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Kooteepee vs Haka Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Ykkosliga Predictions