Today / Finland - Ykkosliga / EIF vs Kooteepee

EIF vs Kooteepee Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

EIF

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kooteepee

PPG 2.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.2%0-26.2%0-33.6%0-4+2.3%1 1-06.0%1-110.4%1-29.0%1-35.2%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.5%2-26.6%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.1%3-13.7%3-23.2%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 25.3% 3.95 +37.1%

Draw 24.1% 26.7% 3.75 -5.8%

Away win 41.3% 57.8% 1.73 -28.5%

Over 2.5 59.7% 61.7% 1.62 -3.3%

Over 3.5 36.6% 40.0% 2.50 -8.5%

BTTS 61.3% 64.5% 1.55 -5.0%

Home O1.5 40.0% 37.0% 2.70 +8.0%

Away O1.5 48.5% 60.6% 1.65 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 0.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.3%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

EIF1.5

Kooteepee1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EIF · PPG 2.00

KOOTEEPEE · PPG 2.22

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

EIF (H) 34.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +37.1%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.8%

Kooteepee (A) 41.3%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -28.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

EIF face Kooteepee in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives EIF a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Kooteepee 41%, so Kooteepee are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for EIF and 1.7 for Kooteepee (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, EIF are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.22 for Kooteepee. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +35.2%. This match finished 0-1.

EIF vs Kooteepee Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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