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SJK Akatemia vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

2 – 6

FULL TIME

Klubi-04

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.6%0-119.2%0-28.5%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.9%1-112.4%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-04.5%2-14.0%2-21.8%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.0%3-10.9%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% 38.5% 2.60 -17.3%

Draw 32.5% 28.6% 3.50 +13.8%

Away win 40.2% 42.9% 2.33 -6.3%

Over 2.5 34.2% 64.5% 1.55 -47.0%

Over 3.5 18.0% 42.0% 2.38 -34.3%

BTTS 43.7% 69.4% 1.44 -37.1%

Home O1.5 30.9% 50.0% 2.00 -38.2%

Away O1.5 25.7% 54.1% 1.85 -31.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 0.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-6

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.7%

A 40% / xG 0.6-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.6%

#2 0–1 19.2%

#3 1–0 13.9%

#4 1–1 12.4%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK Akatemia0.6

Klubi-040.9

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.67

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.80

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.24, combined xG 1.53 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SJK Akatemia (H) 27.4%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -17.3%

Draw 32.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +13.8%

Klubi-04 (A) 40.2%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK Akatemia face Klubi-04 in Finland - Ykkosliga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK Akatemia a 27% chance, the draw 33% and Klubi-04 40%, so Klubi-04 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for SJK Akatemia and 0.9 for Klubi-04 (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK Akatemia are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Klubi-04. This match finished 2-6.

SJK Akatemia vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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