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EIF vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

EIF

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

JIPPO

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-19.5%0-27.1%0-33.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.0%1-112.0%1-28.9%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.1%2-17.6%2-25.6%2-32.8%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.1%3-13.2%3-22.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% 29.4% 3.40 +24.4%

Draw 25.9% 32.3% 3.10 -11.8%

Away win 37.5% 51.3% 1.95 -26.9%

Over 2.5 53.5% 50.0% 2.00 +7.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 28.6% 3.50 +10.3%

BTTS 54.3% 57.1% 1.75 -5.0%

Home O1.5 37.0% 30.8% 3.25 +20.3%

Away O1.5 40.9% 47.6% 2.10 -14.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 0.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.3%

A 38% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 1–2 8.9%

#4 1–0 8.0%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

EIF1.3

JIPPO1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EIF · PPG 1.80

JIPPO · PPG 1.80

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

EIF (H) 36.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +24.4%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -11.8%

JIPPO (A) 37.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -26.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

EIF face JIPPO in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives EIF a 37% chance, the draw 26% and JIPPO 38%, so JIPPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for EIF and 1.5 for JIPPO (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, EIF are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.80 for JIPPO. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +27.1%. This match finished 0-2.

EIF vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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