Today / Australia - NPL South Australia / West Torrens vs Para Hills

West Torrens vs Para Hills Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Matchday 18 ·Friday, July 17, 2026, 10:30

West Torrens

PPG 2.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWD

11 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Para Hills

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 81.5% vs bookmaker-implied 95.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.2%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.6%1-10.9%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.1%2-12.5%2-20.7%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.0%3-14.3%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-041.5%4+-125.2%4+-27.7%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 81.5% 95.2% 1.05 -14.4%

Draw 11.3% 11.8% 8.50 -2.4%

Away win 7.2% 5.3% 19.00 +22.1%

Over 2.5 79.5% 90.1% 1.11 -11.8%

Over 3.5 62.2% 76.9% 1.30 -19.1%

BTTS 52.6% 55.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Home O1.5 77.8% 96.2% 1.04 -19.1%

Away O1.5 18.8% 23.3% 4.30 -11.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 11-0

xG (home)5.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob52.6%

H 82% / xG 5.2-0.6 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 9.5%

#2 4–0 9.2%

#3 3–0 7.0%

#4 5–1 5.8%

#5 4–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

West Torrens5.2

Para Hills0.6

COMBINED 5.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 62.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WEST TORRENS · PPG 2.50

PARA HILLS · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

West Torrens (H) 81.5%

ODDS 1.05 · IMPLIED 95.2% EV -14.4%

Draw 11.3%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV -2.4%

Para Hills (A) 7.2%

ODDS 19.00 · IMPLIED 5.3% EV +22.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

West Torrens face Para Hills in Australia - NPL South Australia on Friday, July 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives West Torrens a 82% chance, the draw 11% and Para Hills 7%, so West Torrens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.2 for West Torrens and 0.6 for Para Hills (5.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, West Torrens are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Para Hills. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.1%. This match finished 11-0.

West Torrens vs Para Hills Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Match Preview & Prediction

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