Today / Australia - NPL South Australia / West Torrens vs Para Hills

West Torrens vs Para Hills Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Regular Season - 18 ·Friday, July 17, 2026, 10:30

West Torrens

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Para Hills

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 81.5% vs bookmaker-implied 95.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.2%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.6%1-10.9%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.1%2-12.5%2-20.7%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.0%3-14.3%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-041.5%4+-125.2%4+-27.7%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 81.5% 95.2% 1.05 -14.4%

Draw 11.3% 11.8% 8.50 -2.4%

Away win 7.2% 5.3% 19.00 +22.1%

Over 2.5 79.5% 90.1% 1.11 -11.8%

Over 3.5 62.2% 76.9% 1.30 -19.1%

BTTS 52.6% 55.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Home O1.5 77.8% 96.2% 1.04 -19.1%

Away O1.5 18.8% 23.3% 4.30 -11.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)5.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob52.6%

H 82% / xG 5.2-0.6 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 9.5%

#2 4–0 9.2%

#3 3–0 7.0%

#4 5–1 5.8%

#5 4–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

West Torrens5.2

Para Hills0.6

COMBINED 5.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 62.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WEST TORRENS · PPG 2.50

PARA HILLS · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

West Torrens (H) 81.5%

ODDS 1.05 · IMPLIED 95.2% EV -14.4%

Draw 11.3%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV -2.4%

Para Hills (A) 7.2%

ODDS 19.00 · IMPLIED 5.3% EV +22.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

West Torrens face Para Hills in Australia - NPL South Australia on Friday, July 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives West Torrens a 82% chance, the draw 11% and Para Hills 7%, so West Torrens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.2 for West Torrens and 0.6 for Para Hills (5.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, West Torrens are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Para Hills. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.1%.

West Torrens vs Para Hills Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Match Preview & Prediction

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