Montana vs Slavia Sofia Prediction— Bulgaria - First League

Bulgaria - First League Regular Season - 30 Ogosta Stadium· Montana Thursday, April 16, 2026 16:30

Montana PPG 0.71

0-0 HIT CS5

Slavia Sofia PPG 1.14

Away· +12.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Montana face Slavia Sofia in Bulgaria - First League on Thursday, April 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Montana a 17% chance, the draw 23% and Slavia Sofia 61%, so Slavia Sofia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Montana and 1.8 for Slavia Sofia (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Montana are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.14 for Slavia Sofia. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 16.5%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -36.5%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -24.8%

Away 60.8%

Odds: 1.85 EV: +12.5%

Model lean: Away

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.0% Odds: 1.95 -6.4%

Over 3.5 26.2% Odds: 3.40 -10.9%

BTTS 46.0% Odds: 1.77 -18.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Montana

0.80

Slavia Sofia

1.79

Model SuggestionAway +12.5% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5/Under 33%

BTTS/No 33%

Score Hit 17%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.71) vs Away AVERAGE (1.14)