South Melbourne vs Oakleigh C. Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

South Melbourne face Oakleigh C. in Australia - Victoria NPL on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives South Melbourne a 54% chance, the draw 21% and Oakleigh C. 26%, so South Melbourne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for South Melbourne and 1.5 for Oakleigh C. (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, South Melbourne are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.67 for Oakleigh C.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +67.7%. This match finished 0-3.