Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick City

North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick City Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Matchday 25 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 05:00

North Sunshine Eagles

PPG 0.83 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLWW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Brunswick City

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.6% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-15.4%0-24.5%0-32.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-05.7%1-19.5%1-27.9%1-34.4%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.1%2-18.4%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.0%3-15.0%3-24.1%3-32.3%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.3%4+-22.7%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 50.0% 2.00 -26.6%

Draw 22.0% 25.0% 4.00 -7.2%

Away win 41.3% 38.2% 2.62 +8.2%

Over 2.5 64.6% 71.4% 1.40 -9.6%

Over 3.5 43.5% 50.8% 1.97 -14.3%

BTTS 61.8% 71.4% 1.40 -13.5%

Home O1.5 48.8% 61.7% 1.62 -20.9%

Away O1.5 48.5% 53.5% 1.87 -9.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -27.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.8%

A 41% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 0–2 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

North Sunshine Eagles1.8

Brunswick City1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NORTH SUNSHINE EAGLES · PPG 0.83

BRUNSWICK CITY · PPG 0.92

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

North Sunshine Eagles (H) 36.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -26.6%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.2%

Brunswick City (A) 41.3%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

North Sunshine Eagles face Brunswick City in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives North Sunshine Eagles a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Brunswick City 41%, so Brunswick City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for North Sunshine Eagles and 1.7 for Brunswick City (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, North Sunshine Eagles are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 0.92 for Brunswick City. This match finished 2-0.

North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick City Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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