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Maranhao vs Inter Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 20:00

Maranhao

PPG 1.60 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Inter Limeira

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-115.5%0-27.0%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.8%1-113.3%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.3%2-15.7%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.6%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% 41.7% 2.40 -9.0%

Draw 32.7% 33.3% 3.00 -1.9%

Away win 29.4% 35.1% 2.85 -9.7%

Over 2.5 38.6% 45.5% 2.20 -15.1%

Over 3.5 19.0% 23.8% 4.20 -12.1%

BTTS 48.5% 54.1% 1.85 -10.3%

Home O1.5 33.7% 39.2% 2.55 -14.1%

Away O1.5 23.8% 35.1% 2.85 -19.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -57.7%

Bet Hit 24%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1✓ 15.5%

#4 1–0 14.8%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Maranhao0.9

Inter Limeira0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.6% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MARANHAO · PPG 1.60

INTER LIMEIRA · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs Home GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Maranhao (H) 37.9%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -9.0%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -1.9%

Inter Limeira (A) 29.4%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -9.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Maranhao face Inter Limeira in Brazil - Serie C on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maranhao a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Inter Limeira 29%, so Maranhao are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Maranhao and 0.9 for Inter Limeira (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maranhao are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.17 for Inter Limeira. This match finished 0-1.

Maranhao vs Inter Limeira Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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