Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Menemen B. vs Y. Malatyaspor

Menemen B. vs Y. Malatyaspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 33 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 14:00

Menemen B.

PPG 1.47 · HOME

UPCOMING

Y. Malatyaspor

PPG 0.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.47), Away POOR (0.07) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-10.5%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.5%1-12.0%1-20.3%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.2%2-13.7%2-20.6%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.3%3-14.6%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-038.3%4+-111.5%4+-21.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 94.7% — — —

Draw 4.3% — — —

Away win 1.0% — — —

Over 2.5 76.9% — — —

Over 3.5 57.7% — — —

BTTS 25.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.8 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob25.3%

H 95% / xG 3.8-0.3 / O2.5 77% / NoBTTS 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 15.3%

#2 4–0 14.4%

#3 2–0 12.2%

#4 5–0 10.8%

#5 1–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Menemen B.3.8

Y. Malatyaspor0.3

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.9% · O3.5 PROB 57.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MENEMEN B. · PPG 1.47

Y. MALATYASPOR · PPG 0.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.47), Away POOR (0.07) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Menemen B. (H) 94.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 4.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Y. Malatyaspor (A) 1.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Menemen B. face Y. Malatyaspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Menemen B. a 95% chance, the draw 4% and Y. Malatyaspor 1%, so Menemen B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Menemen B. and 0.3 for Y. Malatyaspor (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 25% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Menemen B. are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.07 for Y. Malatyaspor.

Menemen B. vs Y. Malatyaspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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