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Isparta Davrazs vs Yeni Mersin IY Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 33 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 14:00

Isparta Davrazs

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yeni Mersin IY

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-10.5%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.5%1-12.0%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.5%2-14.2%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.5%3-15.9%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-034.8%4+-119.5%4+-25.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 94.0% — — —

Draw 4.3% — — —

Away win 1.6% — — —

Over 2.5 85.6% — — —

Over 3.5 70.3% — — —

BTTS 42.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.2%

H 94% / xG 4.2-0.6 / O2.5 86% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 11.1%

#2 3–0 10.5%

#3 5–0 9.4%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 4–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Isparta Davrazs4.2

Yeni Mersin IY0.6

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 85.6% · O3.5 PROB 70.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ISPARTA DAVRAZS · PPG 2.00

YENI MERSIN IY · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Isparta Davrazs (H) 94.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 4.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yeni Mersin IY (A) 1.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Isparta Davrazs face Yeni Mersin IY in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Isparta Davrazs a 94% chance, the draw 4% and Yeni Mersin IY 2%, so Isparta Davrazs are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Isparta Davrazs and 0.6 for Yeni Mersin IY (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Isparta Davrazs are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.60 for Yeni Mersin IY.

Isparta Davrazs vs Yeni Mersin IY Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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