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Everton vs U. de Chile Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Matchday 10 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 21:30

Everton

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDWW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

U. de Chile

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-030.9%0-121.6%0-27.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.7%1-110.3%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-03.5%2-12.5%2-20.9%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.6%3-10.4%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.9% 29.0% 3.45 -24.4%

Draw 42.0% 31.3% 3.20 +34.4%

Away win 36.0% 48.5% 2.06 -25.8%

Over 2.5 11.5% 45.5% 2.20 -74.7%

Over 3.5 3.2% 23.8% 4.20 -86.6%

BTTS 19.1% 52.4% 1.91 -63.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 81 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 0.5%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob19.1%

A 36% / xG 0.5-0.7 / U2.5 12% / NoBTTS 19%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 30.9%

#2 0–1 21.6%

#3 1–0 14.7%

#4 1–1 10.3%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Everton0.5

U. de Chile0.7

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 11.5% · O3.5 PROB 3.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EVERTON · PPG 1.00

U. DE CHILE · PPG 1.40

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

Chance this pick lands

42%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Everton (H) 21.9%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -24.4%

Draw 42.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +34.4%

U. de Chile (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.06 · IMPLIED 48.5% EV -25.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Everton face U. de Chile in Chile - Primera División on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Everton a 22% chance, the draw 42% and U. de Chile 36%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Everton and 0.7 for U. de Chile (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 12% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 19% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Everton are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.40 for U. de Chile. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +34.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Everton vs U. de Chile Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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