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S George Saints vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 08:30

S George Saints

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sydney Olympic

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-17.9%0-24.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.1%1-112.1%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.5%2-19.3%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.4%3-14.8%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 1.70 -15.3%

Draw 25.2% 3.60 -5.6%

Away win 25.0% 4.20 +3.0%

Over 2.5 53.9% 1.62 -12.7%

Over 3.5 32.6% 2.50 -18.5%

BTTS 55.8% 1.55 -13.5%

Home Over 1.5 46.0% 1.65 -24.1%

Away Over 1.5 36.3% 2.80 +1.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 80 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.8%

H 50% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 0–0 7.2%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S George Saints1.5

Sydney Olympic1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

S GEORGE SAINTS · PPG 1.00

SYDNEY OLYMPIC · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.70)

Win probability 1X2

S George Saints (H) 49.8%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -15.3%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -5.6%

Sydney Olympic (A) 25.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

S George Saints face Sydney Olympic in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S George Saints a 50% chance, the draw 25% and Sydney Olympic 25%, so S George Saints are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for S George Saints and 1.1 for Sydney Olympic (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S George Saints are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.70 for Sydney Olympic. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.0%.

S George Saints vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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