Today / Jazz Pori vs Tampere Utd

Jazz Pori vs Tampere Utd Prediction

Thursday, June 25, 2026

Jazz Pori

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tampere Utd

PPG 2.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-112.3%0-213.5%0-39.8%0-4+8.9%1 1-03.9%1-18.5%1-29.3%1-36.8%1-4+6.2%2 2-01.3%2-12.9%2-23.2%2-32.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 12.7% — —

Draw 21.0% — —

Away win 66.3% — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — —

Over 3.5 36.3% — —

BTTS 51.6% — —

Win probability 1X2

Jazz Pori (H) 12.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tampere Utd (A) 66.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob51.6%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.5%

#2 0–1 12.3%

#3 0–3 9.8%

#4 1–1 8.5%

#5 1–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jazz Pori0.7

Tampere Utd2.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 36.3%

Form & verdict PPG

JAZZ PORI · PPG 0.80

TAMPERE UTD · PPG 2.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Match Preview & Prediction

Jazz Pori face Tampere Utd on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jazz Pori a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Tampere Utd 66%, so Tampere Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Jazz Pori and 2.2 for Tampere Utd (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jazz Pori are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 2.40 for Tampere Utd.

Jazz Pori vs Tampere Utd Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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