Instituto vs Estudiantes Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Apertura - 15 Mario Alberto Kempes· Cordoba Saturday, April 18, 2026 20:15

Instituto PPG 1.86

0-1 HIT CS3

Estudiantes PPG 1.50

Draw· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Instituto face Estudiantes in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Instituto a 35% chance, the draw 34% and Estudiantes 30%, so Instituto are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Instituto and 0.8 for Estudiantes (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Instituto are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.50 for Estudiantes. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -7.8%

Draw 34.4%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +3.2%

Away 30.4%

Odds: 2.82 EV: -14.3%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 23.4% Odds: 2.60 -39.2%

Over 3.5 8.8% Odds: 5.25 -53.8%

BTTS 31.9% Odds: 2.10 -33.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Instituto

0.88

Estudiantes

0.79

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 69%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -36.4%

Bet Hit 31% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away GOOD (1.50)