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France - Ligue 1 logo France flag France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 30 Stade Pierre-Mauroy· Lille Saturday, April 18, 2026 19:05
Lille logo Lille PPG 1.93
0-0 MISS
Nice logo Nice PPG 0.71
Over3.5· +65.2% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 82.1%
Odds: 1.50 EV: +23.2%
Draw 11.2%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -54.1%
Away 6.7%
Odds: 6.25 EV: -58.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.7% Odds: 1.80 +36.3%
Over 3.5 56.0% Odds: 2.95 +65.2%
BTTS 54.3% Odds: 1.85 +0.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 3-1
4th 2-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille
3.13
Nice
0.84

Model Suggestion

Home +23.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+65.2%)

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

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