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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Saturday, April 18, 2026 19:00 
Racing CM PPG 2.17 
Defensor S. PPG 0.83
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Saturday, April 18, 2026 19:00 Racing CM PPG 2.171-1 HIT CS4
Defensor S. PPG 0.83Home· +24.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 24.2% Odds: 2.45 -40.7%
Over 3.5 9.3% Odds: 4.75 -55.8%
BTTS 25.5% Odds: 2.00 -49.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✔
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing CM 1.26
Defensor S. 0.44
Model Suggestion
Home +24.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -42.4%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs P(Home)=57.1%