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Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski Mostar Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 15:00

Sloga Doboj

PPG 1.29 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Zrinjski Mostar

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.8%0-119.7%0-29.0%0-32.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.4%1-112.2%1-25.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-04.2%2-13.8%2-21.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.9%3-10.8%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.7% 25.0% 4.00 -5.2%

Draw 35.8% 33.3% 3.00 +7.4%

Away win 40.5% 54.1% 1.85 -25.1%

Over 2.5 19.8% — — —

Over 3.5 6.9% — — —

BTTS 27.5% 48.8% 2.05 -43.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob27.5%

A 40% / xG 0.6-0.9 / U2.5 20% / NoBTTS 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.8%

#2 0–1 19.7%

#3 1–0 13.4%

#4 1–1 12.2%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sloga Doboj0.6

Zrinjski Mostar0.9

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 19.8% · O3.5 PROB 6.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOGA DOBOJ · PPG 1.29

ZRINJSKI MOSTAR · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Sloga Doboj (H) 23.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -5.2%

Draw 35.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +7.4%

Zrinjski Mostar (A) 40.5%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -25.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sloga Doboj face Zrinjski Mostar in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sloga Doboj a 24% chance, the draw 36% and Zrinjski Mostar 41%, so Zrinjski Mostar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Sloga Doboj and 0.9 for Zrinjski Mostar (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sloga Doboj are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 2.00 for Zrinjski Mostar. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.4%. This match finished 0-3.

Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski Mostar Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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