Today / Sweden - Ettan - Södra / Skovde AIK vs Hassleholms IF

Skovde AIK vs Hassleholms IF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 13 ·Thursday, June 18, 2026, 17:00

Skovde AIK

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hassleholms IF

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.7% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-113.7%0-29.8%0-34.7%0-4+2.3%1 1-08.8%1-112.5%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.0%2-15.7%2-24.1%2-31.9%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.2%3-11.7%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 22.9% 3.10 -17.4%

Draw 27.6% 3.40 -3.7%

Away win 49.5% 2.05 +1.5%

Over 2.5 49.5% 1.70 -15.8%

Over 3.5 28.1% 2.70 -14.5%

BTTS 50.7% 1.55 -21.4%

Win probability 1X2

Skovde AIK (H) 22.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -17.4%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -3.7%

Hassleholms IF (A) 49.5%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +1.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -10.8%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob50.7%

A 50% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1 13.7%

#3 0–0 9.6%

#4 0–2 9.8%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skovde AIK0.9

Hassleholms IF1.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SKOVDE AIK · PPG 1.50

HASSLEHOLMS IF · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.67)

Match Preview & Prediction

Skovde AIK face Hassleholms IF in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Thursday, June 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skovde AIK a 23% chance, the draw 28% and Hassleholms IF 50%, so Hassleholms IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Skovde AIK and 1.4 for Hassleholms IF (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skovde AIK are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.67 for Hassleholms IF. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Skovde AIK vs Hassleholms IF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Ettan - Södra Predictions