Today / Sweden - Ettan - Södra / Kristianstad vs Angelholms FF

Kristianstad vs Angelholms FF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra · Matchday 16 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

Kristianstad

PPG 0.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Angelholms FF

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.5% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-18.8%0-26.9%0-33.6%0-4+2.0%1 1-07.4%1-111.6%1-29.0%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.9%2-17.6%2-25.9%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.1%3-13.3%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% 42.0% 2.38 -21.7%

Draw 24.8% 28.2% 3.55 -7.2%

Away win 42.4% 40.0% 2.50 +6.0%

Over 2.5 53.5% 60.6% 1.65 -11.7%

Over 3.5 32.6% 38.5% 2.60 -15.2%

BTTS 55.5% 66.7% 1.50 -16.8%

Home O1.5 37.4% 50.0% 2.00 -25.2%

Away O1.5 48.2% 47.6% 2.10 +1.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -8.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.5%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 0–0 5.7%

#5 0–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kristianstad1.3

Angelholms FF1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KRISTIANSTAD · PPG 0.86

ANGELHOLMS FF · PPG 1.29

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kristianstad (H) 32.9%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -21.7%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -7.2%

Angelholms FF (A) 42.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kristianstad face Angelholms FF in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kristianstad a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Angelholms FF 42%, so Angelholms FF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kristianstad and 1.6 for Angelholms FF (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kristianstad are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.29 for Angelholms FF. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +3.5%.

Kristianstad vs Angelholms FF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Ettan - Södra Predictions