Today / Iberia vs Rustavi

Iberia vs Rustavi Prediction

Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Iberia

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rustavi

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-112.9%0-24.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.9%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.0%2-16.4%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.0%3-12.2%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 41.8% — —

Draw 31.9% — —

Away win 26.3% — —

Over 2.5 37.4% — —

Over 3.5 18.9% — —

BTTS 47.8% — —

Win probability 1X2

Iberia (H) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rustavi (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.8%

H 42% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.9%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1 12.9%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Iberia1.0

Rustavi0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IBERIA · PPG 2.00

RUSTAVI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=41.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Iberia face Rustavi on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Iberia a 42% chance, the draw 32% and Rustavi 26%, so Iberia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Iberia and 0.7 for Rustavi (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Iberia are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Rustavi.

Iberia vs Rustavi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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