Today / TPS vs KuPS

TPS vs KuPS Prediction

Wednesday, June 17, 2026

TPS

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

KuPS

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.6%0-112.8%0-25.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-113.3%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.4%2-16.9%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.9%3-12.4%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 39.8% — —

Draw 32.7% — —

Away win 27.5% — —

Over 2.5 37.4% — —

Over 3.5 19.1% — —

BTTS 48.5% — —

Win probability 1X2

TPS (H) 39.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KuPS (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 40% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.6%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TPS1.0

KuPS0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TPS · PPG 2.60

KUPS · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=39.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

TPS face KuPS on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TPS a 40% chance, the draw 33% and KuPS 28%, so TPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for TPS and 0.8 for KuPS (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TPS are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.20 for KuPS.

TPS vs KuPS Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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