Today / Seoul W vs Mungyeong W

Seoul W vs Mungyeong W Prediction

Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Seoul W
PPG 2.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Mungyeong W
PPG 3.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-116.0%0-29.1%0-33.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.6%1-113.2%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-04.8%2-15.4%2-23.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.3%3-11.5%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 33.9%
Draw 30.2%
Away win 35.9%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Over 3.5 28.1%
BTTS 48.5%

Win probability 1X2

Seoul W (H) 33.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Mungyeong W (A) 35.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

D 30% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.2%
#2 1–1 13.2%
#3 0–1 16.0%
#4 1–0 11.6%
#5 0–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul W0.8
Mungyeong W1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL W · PPG 2.00

MUNGYEONG W · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul W face Mungyeong W on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul W a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Mungyeong W 36%, so Mungyeong W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Seoul W and 1.1 for Mungyeong W (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Mungyeong W.

PredictVantage

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