Today / Sejong W vs Incheon W

Sejong W vs Incheon W Prediction

Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Sejong W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Incheon W
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-17.6%0-26.5%0-33.7%0-4+2.3%1 1-06.2%1-110.7%1-29.1%1-35.2%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.4%2-17.5%2-26.4%2-33.6%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.0%3-13.5%3-23.0%3-31.7%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 34.1%
Draw 23.6%
Away win 42.3%
Over 2.5 64.0%
Over 3.5 40.0%
BTTS 61.7%

Win probability 1X2

Sejong W (H) 34.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Incheon W (A) 42.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.7%

A 42% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 1–2 9.1%
#3 2–1 7.5%
#4 0–2 6.5%
#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sejong W1.4
Incheon W1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SEJONG W · PPG 1.00

INCHEON W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Sejong W face Incheon W on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sejong W a 34% chance, the draw 24% and Incheon W 42%, so Incheon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sejong W and 1.7 for Incheon W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sejong W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Incheon W.

PredictVantage

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