Adelaide Utd B vs Adelaide City Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 14 Saturday, June 13, 2026 10:00

Adelaide Utd B PPG 1.33

VS PENDING

Adelaide City PPG 1.57

Away· -5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Adelaide Utd B face Adelaide City in Australia - South Australia NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Adelaide Utd B a 30% chance, the draw 24% and Adelaide City 46%, so Adelaide City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Adelaide Utd B and 1.8 for Adelaide City (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Adelaide Utd B are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.57 for Adelaide City.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.5%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -11.3%

Draw 24.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -6.8%

Away 46.2%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -5.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: 1.44 -12.7%

Over 3.5 37.9% Odds: 2.00 -24.2%

BTTS 61.6% Odds: 1.44 -11.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 0-2

4th 0-1

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Adelaide Utd B

1.25

Adelaide City

1.78

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 74%

BTTS/No 66%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -20.3%

Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.57)