NE MetroStars vs Sturt Lions Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

NE MetroStars face Sturt Lions in Australia - South Australia NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NE MetroStars a 64% chance, the draw 18% and Sturt Lions 18%, so NE MetroStars are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for NE MetroStars and 1.2 for Sturt Lions (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NE MetroStars are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.00 for Sturt Lions. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.4%.