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England - Premier League
Regular Season - 33
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium· London
Saturday, April 18, 2026
16:30
Tottenham
PPG 0.63
2-2
MISS
Brighton
PPG 1.19
Away· -3.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
33.8%
Odds: 2.66
EV: -10.1%
Draw
26.0%
Odds: 3.60
EV: -6.4%
Away
40.2%
Odds: 2.40
EV: -3.5%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
49.4%
Odds: 1.65
-18.5%
Over 3.5
27.5%
Odds: 2.65
-27.1%
BTTS
53.8%
Odds: 1.53
-17.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Tottenham
1.26
Brighton
1.39
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-17.7%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 57 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
47%
O2.5/Under
44%
BTTS/No
60%
Score Hit
44%
ROI
-9.4%
Bet Hit
55%
(11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.19) vs Home POOR (0.63)