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England - Premier League logo England flag England - Premier League Regular Season - 33 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium· London Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:30
Tottenham logo Tottenham PPG 0.63
2-2 MISS
Brighton logo Brighton PPG 1.19
Away· -3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.8%
Odds: 2.66 EV: -10.1%
Draw 26.0%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -6.4%
Away 40.2%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -3.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.4% Odds: 1.65 -18.5%
Over 3.5 27.5% Odds: 2.65 -27.1%
BTTS 53.8% Odds: 1.53 -17.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-2
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Tottenham
1.26
Brighton
1.39

Model Suggestion

BTTS -17.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -9.4%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.19) vs Home POOR (0.63)

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