Sloboda Tuzla vs TOSK Tesanj Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH FBiH - 26 Stadion Tušanj· Tuzla Sunday, June 7, 2026 15:30

Sloboda Tuzla PPG 1.92

VS PENDING

TOSK Tesanj PPG 1.08

Away· +30.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sloboda Tuzla face TOSK Tesanj in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sloboda Tuzla a 44% chance, the draw 28% and TOSK Tesanj 29%, so Sloboda Tuzla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sloboda Tuzla and 1.1 for TOSK Tesanj (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sloboda Tuzla are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.08 for TOSK Tesanj. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.1%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.8%

Odds: 1.57 EV: -31.2%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -1.8%

Away 28.6%

Odds: 5.25 EV: +30.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 2.05 -0.2%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.25 -5.2%

BTTS 52.8% Odds: 1.90 +0.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 1-0

4th 2-1

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sloboda Tuzla

1.30

TOSK Tesanj

1.09

Model SuggestionBTTS +0.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+30.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5/Under 41%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 31%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.92) vs P(Home)=43.8%