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Igman Konjic vs Stupčanica Olovo Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH · Matchday 1 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 15:00

Igman Konjic logo
Igman Konjic
PPG 1.47 · HOME
LAST 5
DLD ··
0 – 3
FULL TIME
Stupčanica Olovo logo
Stupčanica Olovo
PPG 1.53 · AWAY
LAST 5
WW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-110.9%0-25.7%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.6%1-113.2%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.6%2-18.0%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.1%3-13.3%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.1% 44.4% 2.25 -18.8%
Draw 34.4% 30.3% 3.30 +13.5%
Away win 29.6% 36.4% 2.75 -11.2%
Over 2.5 43.1% 48.8% 2.05 -11.7%
Over 3.5 23.4% 28.6% 3.50 -10.9%
BTTS 47.2% 57.1% 1.75 -17.4%
Home O1.5 32.8%
Away O1.5 32.6%

League track record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 40%
BTTS 41%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -72.0%
Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.2%

D 34% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%
#2 0–0 10.3%
#3 1–0 12.6%
#4 0–1 10.9%
#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Igman Konjic1.2
Stupčanica Olovo1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

IGMAN KONJIC · PPG 1.47

STUPČANICA OLOVO · PPG 1.53

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned
80%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.16, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Igman Konjic (H) 36.1%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -18.8%
Draw 34.4%
ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +13.5%
Stupčanica Olovo (A) 29.6%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Igman Konjic face Stupčanica Olovo in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Igman Konjic a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Stupčanica Olovo 30%, so Igman Konjic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Igman Konjic and 1.1 for Stupčanica Olovo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Igman Konjic are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.53 for Stupčanica Olovo. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

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