Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.80 +8.2%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.70 -2.3%
BTTS 48.0% Odds: 2.18 +4.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Home -16.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-16.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=64.3%