Today / Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH / Celik vs Igman Konjic

Celik vs Igman Konjic Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 25 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 15:30

Celik

PPG 2.50 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Igman Konjic

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-13.7%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.7%1-18.2%1-22.9%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-19.3%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.9%3-17.0%3-22.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.5%4+-16.7%4+-22.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.3% 76.9% 1.30 -16.4%

Draw 21.1% 22.2% 4.50 -3.0%

Away win 14.6% 12.5% 8.00 +10.1%

Over 2.5 60.1% 55.6% 1.80 +8.2%

Over 3.5 36.2% 37.0% 2.70 -2.3%

BTTS 48.0% 45.9% 2.18 +4.6%

Home O1.5 65.8% 69.9% 1.43 -5.9%

Away O1.5 15.7% 14.8% 6.75 +3.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.0%

H 64% / xG 2.3-0.7 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.2%

#2 1–0 11.7%

#3 3–0 9.9%

#4 1–1 8.2%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Celik2.3

Igman Konjic0.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CELIK · PPG 2.50

IGMAN KONJIC · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=64.3%

Win probability 1X2

Celik (H) 64.3%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -16.4%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -3.0%

Igman Konjic (A) 14.6%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV +10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Celik face Igman Konjic in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Celik a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Igman Konjic 15%, so Celik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Celik and 0.7 for Igman Konjic (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Celik are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.08 for Igman Konjic. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.1%. This match finished 4-0.

Celik vs Igman Konjic Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

More Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH Predictions