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R. Hadzici vs Igman Konjic Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 23 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

R. Hadzici

PPG 1.70 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Igman Konjic

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-17.2%0-23.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.0%1-111.7%1-25.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.8%2-19.6%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.3%3-15.2%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% 63.7% 1.57 -20.1%

Draw 25.1% 27.8% 3.60 -5.8%

Away win 24.0% 20.0% 5.00 +12.0%

Over 2.5 52.6% 51.3% 1.95 +2.6%

Over 3.5 26.5% 30.3% 3.30 -7.5%

BTTS 51.6% 50.8% 1.97 +1.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 51% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Hadzici1.6

Igman Konjic1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.5%

Form & verdict PPG

R. HADZICI · PPG 1.70

IGMAN KONJIC · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.70) > Away POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

R. Hadzici (H) 50.9%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -20.1%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -5.8%

Igman Konjic (A) 24.0%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Hadzici face Igman Konjic in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Hadzici a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Igman Konjic 24%, so R. Hadzici are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for R. Hadzici and 1.0 for Igman Konjic (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Hadzici are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.91 for Igman Konjic. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.0%. This match finished 0-1.

R. Hadzici vs Igman Konjic Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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