Today / Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH / Igman Konjic vs Stupcanica

Igman Konjic vs Stupcanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 26 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 15:30

Igman Konjic logo
Igman Konjic
PPG 1.58 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Stupcanica logo
Stupcanica
PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-112.4%0-29.0%0-34.3%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.6%1-112.5%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.4%2-16.3%2-24.6%2-32.2%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.5%3-12.1%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.9% 44.4% 2.25 -21.0%
Draw 28.2% 31.3% 3.20 -5.9%
Away win 42.9% 36.4% 2.75 +18.0%
Over 2.5 48.7% 48.8% 2.05 -0.2%
Over 3.5 28.0% 35.7% 2.80 -13.0%
BTTS 52.0% 62.5% 1.60 -16.8%
Home O1.5 36.7% 44.8% 2.23 -18.2%
Away O1.5 37.8% 48.8% 2.05 -22.5%

League track record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 40%
BTTS 38%
Score Hit 31%
ROI -30.9%
Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 19%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.0%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.4 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%
#2 0–1 12.4%
#3 0–0 8.6%
#4 1–2 9.1%
#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Igman Konjic1.0
Stupcanica1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IGMAN KONJIC · PPG 1.58

STUPCANICA · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Win probability 1X2

Igman Konjic (H) 28.9%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -21.0%
Draw 28.2%
ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -5.9%
Stupcanica (A) 42.9%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +18.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Igman Konjic face Stupcanica in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Igman Konjic a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Stupcanica 43%, so Stupcanica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Igman Konjic and 1.4 for Stupcanica (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Igman Konjic are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.42 for Stupcanica. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +18.0%. This match finished 1-2.

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