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Sloboda Tuzla vs Jedinstvo Bihac Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 24 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:30

Sloboda Tuzla

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Jedinstvo Bihac

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 53.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-17.3%0-23.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.5%1-111.8%1-25.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.5%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.4%3-15.1%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% 60.6% 1.65 -16.0%

Draw 25.1% 27.8% 3.60 -5.8%

Away win 24.0% 23.8% 4.20 +0.5%

Over 2.5 48.3% 48.8% 2.05 -1.0%

Over 3.5 25.5% 29.2% 3.42 -7.7%

BTTS 51.6% 53.5% 1.87 -3.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.6%

H 51% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.8%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 2–0 10.1%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sloboda Tuzla1.6

Jedinstvo Bihac0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.3% · O3.5 PROB 25.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOBODA TUZLA · PPG 2.00

JEDINSTVO BIHAC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=50.9%

Win probability 1X2

Sloboda Tuzla (H) 50.9%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -16.0%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -5.8%

Jedinstvo Bihac (A) 24.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sloboda Tuzla face Jedinstvo Bihac in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sloboda Tuzla a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Jedinstvo Bihac 24%, so Sloboda Tuzla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sloboda Tuzla and 0.9 for Jedinstvo Bihac (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sloboda Tuzla are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Jedinstvo Bihac. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Sloboda Tuzla vs Jedinstvo Bihac Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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