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Igman Konjic vs B. Gracanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 24 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:30

Igman Konjic

PPG 1.64 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

B. Gracanica

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-111.2%0-25.9%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.6%1-113.3%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.5%2-17.9%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.0%3-13.1%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% 54.6% 1.83 -27.9%

Draw 30.9% 28.6% 3.50 +8.2%

Away win 29.7% 28.6% 3.50 +2.4%

Over 2.5 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%

Over 3.5 18.9% 30.5% 3.28 -22.8%

BTTS 51.6% 55.9% 1.79 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.6%

D 31% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0✓ 10.6%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 0–1 11.2%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Igman Konjic1.2

B. Gracanica1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IGMAN KONJIC · PPG 1.64

B. GRACANICA · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.64) vs P(Home)=39.4%

Win probability 1X2

Igman Konjic (H) 39.4%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -27.9%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +8.2%

B. Gracanica (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +2.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Igman Konjic face B. Gracanica in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Igman Konjic a 39% chance, the draw 31% and B. Gracanica 30%, so Igman Konjic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Igman Konjic and 1.1 for B. Gracanica (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Igman Konjic are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.73 for B. Gracanica. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Igman Konjic vs B. Gracanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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