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Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH Sunday, May 10, 2026 15:00 
Celik PPG 2.40 
TOSK Tesanj PPG 1.00
Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH Sunday, May 10, 2026 15:00 Celik PPG 2.402-0 HIT CS2
TOSK Tesanj PPG 1.00Away· +68.8% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.9% Odds: 1.95 +3.1%
Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 3.05 -8.0%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 2.46 +28.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✔
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Celik 1.80
TOSK Tesanj 0.89
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +3.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +3.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+68.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+68.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=51.0%