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Syrianska FC vs Fittja Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 20 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

Syrianska FC

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDL

UPCOMING

Fittja

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 72% chance

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.3%0-23.2%0-32.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-03.5%1-16.9%1-26.8%1-34.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.8%2-17.4%2-27.3%2-34.8%2-4+3.7%3 3-02.7%3-15.3%3-25.2%3-33.4%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-14.6%4+-24.5%4+-33.0%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% 42.6% 2.35 -11.2%

Draw 20.8% 26.7% 3.75 -13.2%

Away win 41.4% 42.6% 2.35 -2.7%

Over 2.5 68.4% 73.5% 1.36 -7.0%

Over 3.5 49.4% 54.6% 1.83 -9.6%

BTTS 63.5% 73.5% 1.36 -13.6%

Home O1.5 60.2% — — —

Away O1.5 58.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.5%

A 41% / xG 2.1-2.0 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 6.8%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.4%

#5 2–3 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Syrianska FC2.1

Fittja2.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SYRIANSKA FC · PPG 1.33

FITTJA · PPG 1.11

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

72%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.16 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Syrianska FC (H) 37.8%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -11.2%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -13.2%

Fittja (A) 41.4%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -2.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Syrianska FC face Fittja in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Syrianska FC a 38% chance, the draw 21% and Fittja 41%, so Fittja are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Syrianska FC and 2.0 for Fittja (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Syrianska FC are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.11 for Fittja. The best value bet our model finds is Over1.5, with an expected value of +1.9%.

Syrianska FC vs Fittja Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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