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Tord vs Husqvarna Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:00

Tord

PPG 0.80 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDLW

UPCOMING

Husqvarna

PPG 2.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -1.57 for Away, form 0.80 vs 2.78

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-110.3%0-212.1%0-39.5%0-4+9.7%1 1-03.4%1-18.0%1-29.4%1-37.4%1-4+7.5%2 2-01.3%2-13.1%2-23.7%2-32.9%2-4+2.9%3 3-00.3%3-10.8%3-20.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.6% 19.2% 5.20 -20.7%

Draw 18.7% 26.7% 3.75 -17.9%

Away win 68.6% 67.6% 1.48 +1.5%

Over 2.5 61.4% 60.2% 1.66 +1.9%

Over 3.5 39.6% 38.5% 2.60 +3.0%

BTTS 52.9% — — —

Home O1.5 30.8% — — —

Away O1.5 69.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -5.6%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob52.9%

A 69% / xG 0.8-2.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.1%

#2 0–3 9.5%

#3 1–2 9.4%

#4 1–1 8.0%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tord0.8

Husqvarna2.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TORD · PPG 0.80

HUSQVARNA · PPG 2.78

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.57 for Away, form 0.80 vs 2.78

Win probability 1X2

Tord (H) 12.6%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV -20.7%

Draw 18.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -17.9%

Husqvarna (A) 68.6%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV +1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tord face Husqvarna in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tord a 13% chance, the draw 19% and Husqvarna 69%, so Husqvarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Tord and 2.3 for Husqvarna (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tord are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 2.78 for Husqvarna. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +3.0%.

Tord vs Husqvarna Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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