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Skara vs Vänersborgs IF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 20 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 14:00

Skara

PPG 2.78 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLWD

UPCOMING

Vänersborgs IF

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 78% chance

xG gap +2.72 for Home, form 2.78 vs 0.44 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.1%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.7%1-13.8%1-21.5%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.3%2-16.6%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.7%3-17.7%3-23.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-021.1%4+-116.7%4+-26.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.4% 82.6% 1.21 -6.3%

Draw 14.8% 16.7% 6.00 -6.7%

Away win 7.7% 11.2% 8.90 -18.9%

Over 2.5 68.4% 85.5% 1.17 -20.0%

Over 3.5 49.4% 66.7% 1.50 -25.9%

BTTS 52.9% 68.5% 1.46 -22.8%

Home O1.5 77.9% — — —

Away O1.5 23.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -16.1%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.9%

H 77% / xG 3.5-0.8 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.7%

#2 4–0 8.6%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 1–1 3.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skara3.5

Vänersborgs IF0.8

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SKARA · PPG 2.78

VÄNERSBORGS IF · PPG 0.44

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

78%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.72 for Home, form 2.78 vs 0.44 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Skara (H) 77.4%

ODDS 1.21 · IMPLIED 82.6% EV -6.3%

Draw 14.8%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV -6.7%

Vänersborgs IF (A) 7.7%

ODDS 8.90 · IMPLIED 11.2% EV -18.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skara face Vänersborgs IF in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skara a 77% chance, the draw 15% and Vänersborgs IF 8%, so Skara are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Skara and 0.8 for Vänersborgs IF (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skara are averaging 2.78 points per game versus 0.44 for Vänersborgs IF.

Skara vs Vänersborgs IF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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