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Pesch vs E. Hohkeppel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 30 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:45

Pesch

PPG 0.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

E. Hohkeppel

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.64) vs Home POOR (0.43)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.7%0-24.0%0-36.3%0-4+26.6%1 1-00.4%1-11.6%1-23.8%1-35.9%1-4+25.0%2 2-00.2%2-10.8%2-21.8%2-32.8%2-4+11.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.6%3-30.9%3-4+3.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.4% — — —

Draw 19.3% — — —

Away win 69.3% — — —

Over 2.5 78.1% — — —

Over 3.5 54.4% — — —

BTTS 56.3% — — —

Home O1.5 34.4% — — —

Away O1.5 100.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)4.6 BTTS prob56.3%

A 69% / xG 0.9-4.6 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–4 7.3%

#2 1–4 6.8%

#3 0–5 6.8%

#4 1–5 6.4%

#5 0–3 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pesch0.9

E. Hohkeppel4.6

COMBINED 5.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.1% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PESCH · PPG 0.43

E. HOHKEPPEL · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.64) vs Home POOR (0.43)

Win probability 1X2

Pesch (H) 11.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

E. Hohkeppel (A) 69.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pesch face E. Hohkeppel in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pesch a 11% chance, the draw 19% and E. Hohkeppel 69%, so E. Hohkeppel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Pesch and 4.6 for E. Hohkeppel (5.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pesch are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 1.64 for E. Hohkeppel.

Pesch vs E. Hohkeppel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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