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SF Duren vs Wegberg-Beeck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 30 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 13:00

SF Duren

PPG 0.71 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Wegberg-Beeck

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-13.3%0-25.4%0-35.9%0-4+11.2%1 1-01.3%1-14.3%1-27.1%1-37.8%1-4+14.7%2 2-00.9%2-12.8%2-24.7%2-35.1%2-4+9.7%3 3-00.4%3-11.2%3-22.0%3-32.2%3-4+4.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.9%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.6% — — —

Draw 19.4% — — —

Away win 67.0% — — —

Over 2.5 75.0% — — —

Over 3.5 54.4% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 46.9% — — —

Away O1.5 77.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob63.5%

A 67% / xG 1.3-3.3 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.8%

#2 1–2 7.1%

#3 1–4 6.4%

#4 0–3✓ 5.9%

#5 0–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SF Duren1.3

Wegberg-Beeck3.3

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.0% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SF DUREN · PPG 0.71

WEGBERG-BEECK · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

SF Duren (H) 13.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wegberg-Beeck (A) 67.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SF Duren face Wegberg-Beeck in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SF Duren a 14% chance, the draw 19% and Wegberg-Beeck 67%, so Wegberg-Beeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for SF Duren and 3.3 for Wegberg-Beeck (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SF Duren are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.50 for Wegberg-Beeck. This match finished 0-3.

SF Duren vs Wegberg-Beeck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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